The extreme yield curve inversion over the past year indicates that time is running out for the current macro backdrop. Gold is generally correlated to a steepening yield curve, while stocks are ...

(Bloomberg Opinion) -- A yield curve inversion, when rates for two-year US Treasury notes rise above those for 10-year notes, has preceded every recession since the 1960s. The first clear inversion in ...

Analysts at former Merril Lynch bank question the predictive power of the U.S. yield curve inversion for recessions. Economic strength, Fed rate hikes, and market stability cast doubts on traditional ...

There is much talk these days about the yield curve, and what its shape can tell us about the future of markets. I will not review the analytics of the curve because it is exhaustively covered in the ...

An “inverted” yield curve is a scenario defined by higher yields on short-term Treasury debt versus lower yields on longer-term Treasury debt. The seeming oddity of inversion is short-term debt paying ...

The 10-year and 3-month treasury yields have been inverted since last October Typically, interest rates on long term bonds are higher than rates on short term bonds. An inversion of the yield curve ...

The inverted yield curve has predicted the last seven recessions. And it is inverted again. 2023 kicked off with a promising start for the markets. With investors betting on a pause in interest rate ...

The inverted yield curve has been one of the most reliable predictors of an imminent recession. An inversion of short and long-term bond yields has preceded every recession since World War II. But the ...

Stocks could perform well despite an inverted yield curve, Leuthold's Jim Paulsen said. Paulsen noted that previous inversions saw a gain in the S&P 500 over the following years five out of nine times ...